Market Outlook for 30 October 2025
Market Recap
The Indian equity markets extended their upward trajectory on Wednesday, with Nifty registering another day of gains. The index opened on a positive note and maintained a steady rise for most of the session. However, profit-booking near the 26,100 zone towards the close trimmed a portion of the intraday advances. Eventually, Nifty settled with a gain of 0.45%, reflecting resilience despite volatility in global cues.
Broader indices also displayed strength, with the Nifty Midcap 100 outperforming the benchmark and closing up by 0.64%. The market breadth remained in favor of the bulls, led by renewed buying interest in energy and metal counters.
Sectoral Performance
- Top Performing Sectors: Oil & Gas, Metal – driven by stable crude prices and improved demand outlook from China and Europe.
- Lagging Sectors: Auto, PSU Bank – mild profit-booking seen after recent rallies; traders preferred defensive sectors.
Sector rotation continued as investors shifted focus toward energy and metal names amid global commodity stability. PSU banks saw limited traction due to caution ahead of the upcoming RBI review.
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Institutional Flow Activity
Institutional participation showed a contrasting trend, indicating a tug-of-war between domestic and foreign investors.
| Category | Value (₹ Crore) | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|
| FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) | -2,540.16 | Net Selling |
| DIIs (Domestic Institutional Investors) | +5,692.81 | Net Buying |
FIIs continued to reduce equity exposure, possibly reacting to U.S. bond yield fluctuations, while domestic institutions absorbed the selling, ensuring stability at lower levels.
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FII Index Futures Positioning
| Index | Net Contracts | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty | -5,259 | Short Bias |
| Bank Nifty | -1,062 | Cautious |
| Fin Nifty | +9 | Neutral |
| Midcap Nifty | +130 | Mildly Bullish |
| Nifty Next 50 | +34 | Slight Positive |
Derivatives data shows selective optimism in midcap and secondary indices, while heavyweights remain under short positions. This highlights rotational positioning within institutional portfolios.
Options Market Insights
The options data indicates a tight trading range with a bullish bias. Higher put writing compared to call writing suggests market participants expect consolidation with upward undertones.
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Significant Call OI | 26,500 CE |
| Significant Put OI | 26,000 PE |
| Put-Call Ratio (PCR) | 1.06 |
| Max Pain | 26,000 |
| VWAP Range | 25,895 – 26,210 |
Sentiment Summary: The overall derivative positioning reflects a bullish undertone, supported by aggressive put writing at 26,000 strike levels.
Investor Takeaway
Indian-Share-Tips.com Nifty Expert Gulshan Khera, CFP®, who is also a SEBI Regd Investment Adviser, highlights that the market is showing strength at lower levels despite FII outflows. Strong DII support and stable derivatives positioning indicate a short-term bullish bias. Nifty is expected to find firm support near 25,850–25,900 and face resistance around 26,200–26,250. The undertone remains positive as long as the index sustains above the VWAP range. Discover more expert perspectives at Indian-Share-Tips.com, which is a SEBI Registered Advisory Services.
Related Queries
- What does high Put writing near 26,000 signify for Nifty traders?
- Why are FIIs selling even as DIIs remain net buyers?
- How does Max Pain help in identifying short-term Nifty trends?
- Which sectors may outperform if the bullish bias continues?
SEBI Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers must perform their own due diligence and consult a registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. The views expressed are general in nature and may not suit individual investment objectives or financial situations.
