IIFL on Indusind Bank

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IIFL on Indusind Bank

Downgrade to Reduce vs Add, target price ₹690 vs ₹910

Journey from discrepancies to frauds; 1% ROA to become a distant reality

Total P&L hit of ₹47 bn (7% of 3Q networth)

Cut FY26-27 est. by 40% as we adjust for the inflated base profitability

Next event to monitor - recommendation of new CEO by the sonboard to the RBI by 30th June

Estimate frauds totalling to ₹46.6 bn hit the P&L in 4Q viz.

Derivatives accounting issue of ₹19.6bn;

Non-recognition of MFI NPAs of 18.8bn, resulting in provisions of ₹17.9 bn and interest reversal of ₹1.8 bn

Excess interest and fee income recognition from MFI business, resulting in net revenue reversal of ₹4.2bn; and

other incorrect accounting of previous years to the tune of ₹3.1 bn

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