Why Is Infosys Regaining Investor Confidence After a Strong Q3?
Company Context and Business Profile
🔹 Infosys is a global IT services major with leadership across digital transformation, cloud, AI, and large-scale outsourcing.
🔹 The company services clients across BFSI, healthcare, manufacturing, retail, and public services.
🔹 Its performance is closely linked to global enterprise technology spending cycles.
After several quarters of cautious commentary and muted growth, Infosys has returned to investor focus following a combination of strong deal wins, stable margins, and an upward revision in FY26 revenue guidance. The latest quarter suggests that demand visibility is improving, particularly in large, multi-year transformation deals.
Q3FY26 Performance and Guidance Highlights
🔹 Revenue grew 0.6% QoQ and 1.7% YoY in constant currency terms.
🔹 Adjusted operating margin stood at 21.2%, including one-time labour code impact.
🔹 FY26 revenue growth guidance raised to 3%–3.5%.
🔹 Margin guidance maintained at 20%–22%.
The ability to raise guidance despite a challenging global macro backdrop has been interpreted as a positive signal for demand resilience.
Traders and investors tracking IT-heavy index movements often align exposure using Nifty Tip and BankNifty Tip to navigate sector rotations.
Deal Wins and Order Book Strength
| Metric | Q3FY26 Update |
|---|---|
| Large Deal TCV | $4.8 Bn across 26 deals |
| Net New Deal Share | 57% |
| 9M FY26 Large Deal TCV | $11.7 Bn |
A key highlight was the $1.6 Bn NHS contract in the UK, focused on AI-driven healthcare transformation, reinforcing Infosys’ positioning in complex, high-value digital engagements.
Strengths🔹 Strong deal pipeline and order book 🔹 Leadership in digital and AI-led services 🔹 Robust balance sheet and cash generation |
Weaknesses🔹 Sensitivity to global IT spending cycles 🔹 Slower discretionary spending recovery 🔹 Pricing pressure in commoditised services |
The strengths underscore Infosys’ scale and execution capability, while weaknesses reflect near-term macro uncertainties.
Opportunities🔹 AI-led transformation programs 🔹 Public sector and healthcare digitalisation 🔹 Vendor consolidation by global clients |
Threats🔹 Prolonged global slowdown 🔹 Delays in discretionary tech spending 🔹 Currency volatility impacting margins |
The opportunity-threat balance suggests that execution on large deals will be the key determinant of earnings momentum.
Valuation Perspective and Market View
🔹 Strong deal wins improve medium-term revenue visibility.
🔹 Margin resilience supports free cash flow generation.
🔹 Share buyback of ₹18,000 Cr signals capital allocation confidence.
Investors tracking IT sector-led index movements often refer to Nifty Tip and BankNifty Tip during periods of tech sector rotation.
Investor Takeaway: Derivative Pro & Nifty Expert Gulshan Khera, CFP®, believes Infosys is showing early signs of demand normalisation supported by strong deal wins and AI-led transformation opportunities. While near-term growth remains modest, the medium-term outlook improves as large deals convert into revenues. Investors should track deal execution and discretionary spending trends closely. For ongoing IT sector insights, read free content at Indian-Share-Tips.com, which is a SEBI Registered Advisory Services.
Related Queries on Infosys Stock
🔹 Why did Infosys raise FY26 guidance?
🔹 How important are large deals for Infosys growth?
🔹 What role does AI play in Infosys strategy?
🔹 How stable are Infosys margins?
🔹 Is Infosys entering a demand recovery phase?
SEBI Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers must perform their own due diligence and consult a registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. The views expressed are general in nature and may not suit individual investment objectives or financial situations.
