Why Does Nomura See Strong Upside in ITC Hotels After Its Listing?
ITC Hotels Business Overview
ITC Hotels is one of India’s largest hospitality chains, operating across luxury, premium, and mid-scale segments under brands such as ITC Hotels, Welcomhotel, Fortune, and Mementos. Following its demerger from ITC Limited, the company is now independently positioned to pursue focused growth strategies within the Indian hospitality market.
The company’s portfolio spans business and leisure destinations, with strong exposure to metro cities as well as emerging tourism hubs. This diversified footprint provides resilience across demand cycles.
Nomura has initiated coverage on ITC Hotels with a Buy rating and a target price of ₹230, highlighting strong earnings visibility driven by demand recovery, pricing power, and strategic repositioning.
Key Highlights From Nomura’s Initiation
🔹 High single-digit RevPAR growth visibility supported by resilient average room rates.
🔹 Improving occupancy levels across key metro and leisure markets.
🔹 RevPAR upside expected to drive margin expansion.
🔹 Cost structure improvement to narrow gap with luxury peers.
Nomura believes that ITC Hotels is entering a phase where operating leverage can meaningfully enhance profitability as fixed costs are absorbed over higher revenues.
Hospitality stocks often move in tandem with consumption and travel trends. Traders frequently track such themes alongside Nifty Options Tip to assess broader market sentiment.
3D SWOT — Strengths and Weaknesses
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🔹 Premium brand portfolio 🔹 Strong metro presence 🔹 Pricing power in luxury segment |
🔹 Capital-intensive assets 🔹 Sensitivity to demand cycles 🔹 Lower margins versus global peers |
While hospitality remains cyclical, Nomura notes that current supply constraints in key markets are supporting sustained pricing strength.
3D SWOT — Opportunities and Threats
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🔹 Asset-light expansion strategy 🔹 Recovery in Sri Lanka operations 🔹 Rising domestic tourism |
🔹 Global travel disruptions 🔹 Input cost inflation 🔹 New supply over long term |
Nomura expects return on invested capital to improve steadily as the company increases its share of managed and franchised properties while optimising owned assets.
Valuation and Investment View
Nomura projects revenue and EBITDA CAGR of 15 percent and 18 percent respectively over FY25–FY28, driven by pricing, occupancy, and operating leverage. The target price of ₹230 reflects confidence in margin expansion and improving return metrics.
Short-term traders often align hospitality plays with BankNifty Options Tip to manage broader market swings.
Investor Takeaway
Derivative Pro & Nifty Expert Gulshan Khera, CFP®, believes that ITC Hotels offers a focused hospitality growth story with improving earnings quality post-demerger. Investors should track execution on asset-light expansion and sustained RevPAR growth as key drivers of long-term value.
Readers looking for continued insights into hospitality and consumption themes can explore analysis at Indian-Share-Tips.com, which is a SEBI Registered Advisory Services platform.
Related Queries on ITC Hotels and Hospitality Stocks
What is driving RevPAR growth in hotels?
How does asset-light expansion improve RoIC?
Are hotel stocks entering a new upcycle?
What risks impact hospitality earnings?
SEBI Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers must perform their own due diligence and consult a registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. The views expressed are general in nature and may not suit individual investment objectives or financial situations.
