Will the Banking Index Shine as the Star Performer in the New Samvat?
With the beginning of the new Samvat, investors are keenly watching which sectors could lead the next phase of market growth. Conversations among traders and analysts suggest that the banking and financial services sector could emerge as the standout performer in the upcoming year. Fresh allocations to non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), public sector undertakings (PSUs), and private banks are expected to fuel the momentum.
Several market participants have expressed confidence that the banking index, which has shown strong resilience over the past few quarters, is likely to continue its upward trajectory. The infusion of new liquidity, combined with stable earnings growth and improving asset quality, supports this optimistic outlook.
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Fresh Fund Flows Into Financials Signal Renewed Confidence
According to market chatter, institutional investors are showing renewed interest in financials — particularly in NBFCs, nationalised banks, and leading private lenders. The confidence stems from a combination of improving credit demand, robust Q2 earnings, and a supportive interest rate environment.
Participants also highlighted that the financial sector’s long-term story remains intact, driven by digital transformation, rural credit expansion, and the government’s push for financial inclusion.
Analysts have observed that stocks demonstrating consistent 2–3 year earnings CAGR between 30% and 50% are likely to deliver the best returns in the coming Samvat. Investors with a mid-to-long-term view may focus on banking, financial, and select mid-cap growth names to ride the next phase of India’s bull market.
| Segment | Focus Area | Expected Return Drivers |
|---|---|---|
| Public Sector Banks | Retail credit & NPA control | Government recapitalisation and cost efficiency |
| Private Banks | Digital banking expansion | Steady loan growth and margin improvement |
| NBFCs | Housing, vehicle & SME financing | Higher yields and improved collection ratios |
Market experts like Gulshan Khera have reaffirmed their bullish stance on banking and finance as the backbone of India’s economic expansion. With growing credit penetration and strong capital buffers, the banking sector seems well-positioned for steady performance.
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Mid-Cap Banking and Financial Stocks: The Dark Horses
While large-cap names like HDFC Bank, SBI, and ICICI Bank are expected to continue delivering consistent returns, many analysts believe that the true alpha may come from the mid-cap segment. Stocks demonstrating growth consistency and strong management execution could outperform in the medium term.
Investors are particularly eyeing mid-tier banks and select NBFCs engaged in retail lending, microfinance, and affordable housing finance — areas expected to witness accelerated growth in FY2026.
Sector Outlook: Strengthening Core of the Indian Economy
The financial sector remains the pulse of the Indian growth story. Improved asset quality, expanding credit offtake, and strong digital adoption collectively point to a robust phase for banks and NBFCs. The sector is not only expected to lead in returns but also in market stability, supported by strong regulatory oversight and macroeconomic reforms.
With banking balance sheets stronger than ever, analysts expect double-digit earnings growth for most large lenders, making them a preferred bet for both retail and institutional portfolios in the new Samvat.
Investor Takeaway
Indian-Share-Tips.com Nifty Expert Gulshan Khera, CFP®, who is also a SEBI Regd Investment Adviser, believes that the banking and financial sector is well-poised to outperform in Samvat 2082. Fresh fund inflows, improving fundamentals, and strong credit growth form the base for long-term compounding returns. Investors may consider selective exposure to both large and mid-cap banks while maintaining risk diversification.
Discover more insightful sector analyses and tactical ideas at Indian-Share-Tips.com, which is a SEBI Registered Advisory Services.
Related Queries on Banking Sector Outlook
- Why Are Analysts Bullish on the Banking Index for Samvat 2082?
- Which Mid-Cap Banks Could Outperform in the Coming Year?
- How Will NBFCs Benefit from the New Credit Growth Cycle?
SEBI Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers must perform their own due diligence and consult a registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. The views expressed are general in nature and may not suit individual investment objectives or financial situations.











