Nifty maintained a cautious and slightly bearish sentiment this week, trading below its key short-term moving averages as profit booking and FII outflows continued to weigh on sentiment.
Why Nifty Faces Near-Term Resistance Despite FII Outflows Stabilizing
The Nifty index has remained range-bound for the last several months, reflecting a tug of war between bearish global cues and domestic liquidity support. Despite short-covering seen in the last few sessions, the index is yet to break decisively above its short-term resistance levels.
How are FIIs and DIIs Shaping Market Sentiment? FIIs have turned net sellers, driving foreign capital outflows from Indian equities. However, DIIs have remained consistent buyers, helping cushion deeper declines. This ongoing capital rotation is creating a steady but fragile equilibrium in Nifty’s near-term movement.
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Sectorally, IT and Pharma stocks have been under notable stress due to regulatory and trade headwinds. The Nifty IT index continues to lag on account of visa restrictions and global technology spending cuts. Meanwhile, the Pharma sector faces export challenges from rising U.S. import tariffs on branded drugs.
On the macro front, trade frictions and valuation pressures remain key watchpoints. With Nifty’s P/E hovering near 21.9x and P/B around 3.3x, upside could be capped unless corporate earnings deliver a meaningful surprise in Q3 results season.
Market participants noted that Nifty recently recovered from its late September lows near 24,587 to regain the 25,200 zone by October 10, 2025 — reflecting resilience amid global volatility. The next directional cue is expected from upcoming U.S. inflation data and FII behavior.
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Despite near-term caution, India’s long-term equity narrative remains strong, supported by solid macro fundamentals, improved tax collections, and continued policy thrust on manufacturing and infrastructure. However, valuations remain stretched, demanding selective stock-level positioning.
Investor Takeaway: Indian-Share-Tips.com Nifty Expert Gulshan Khera, CFP®, who is also a SEBI Regd Investment Adviser, observes that Nifty’s sideways consolidation represents a cooling-off phase after strong 2025 rallies. He advises maintaining staggered exposure with focus on sectors like capital goods and PSU banks while avoiding overleveraged positions.
Related Queries
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SEBI Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers must perform their own due diligence and consult a registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions. The views expressed are general in nature and may not suit individual investment objectives or financial situations.











