What Do 10 Years of Mahurat Trading Data Reveal About Samvat 2082 Outlook?
Mahurat Trading, the special one-hour session marking the beginning of the new Samvat year, has always held emotional and financial significance for Indian investors. Traditionally seen as an auspicious start to wealth creation, this Diwali ritual also serves as a microcosm of investor sentiment and confidence in the market’s near-term outlook.
As India welcomes Samvat 2082, the latest data spanning the last 10 years offers valuable insights into how the Nifty, Nifty Midcap, and Nifty Smallcap indices have performed on this festive trading day. Historical analysis indicates that optimism usually prevails, but with measured gains rather than exuberant rallies.
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Over the last decade, the Nifty index has closed positively in 8 out of 10 Mahurat sessions. Despite festive enthusiasm, the gains have largely remained modest, highlighting a disciplined approach by traders and institutions alike. The data shows that Mahurat sessions are more symbolic than speculative, offering stability rather than volatility.
Nifty Mahurat Trading Performance (Last 10 Years)
| Year | Date | Nifty (%) |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | November 1, Friday | 0.4 |
| 2023 | November 12, Sunday | 0.5 |
| 2022 | October 24, Monday | 0.9 |
| 2021 | November 4, Thursday | 0.5 |
| 2020 | November 14, Saturday | 0.5 |
| 2019 | October 27, Sunday | 0.4 |
| 2018 | November 7, Wednesday | 0.7 |
| 2017 | October 19, Thursday | -0.6 |
| 2016 | October 30, Sunday | -0.1 |
| 2015 | November 11, Wednesday | 0.5 |
| Average | — | 0.4 |
Interestingly, while Nifty has rarely surged beyond 1% on Mahurat Day, broader indices such as Nifty Midcap and Nifty Smallcap have occasionally outperformed. The average return for Smallcap stocks has been 0.8% over the decade — almost double that of Nifty — showcasing stronger risk appetite among investors during these sessions.
Midcap & Smallcap Performance Snapshot
| Year | Nifty Midcap (%) | Nifty Smallcap (%) |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| 2023 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| 2022 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| 2021 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| 2020 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 2019 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| 2018 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 2017 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 2015 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Overall, Mahurat Trading has been a steady performer. The session tends to reflect the year’s broader optimism — especially during bull market phases — with Smallcap and Midcap indices often leading the festive charge. Investors interpret this as a sign of confidence in India’s long-term growth story.
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For Samvat 2082, markets are expected to carry forward the positive sentiment, aided by improving liquidity, stable inflation, and robust earnings growth in sectors like banking, infrastructure, and manufacturing. However, traders are advised to treat the Mahurat session as symbolic — a start to disciplined investing — rather than a speculative event.
Investor Takeaway
Indian-Share-Tips.com Nifty Expert Gulshan Khera, CFP®, who is also a SEBI Regd Investment Adviser, notes that Mahurat Trading represents investor optimism and faith in India’s markets rather than short-term trading opportunities. Historical data suggests that consistent participation and long-term discipline outperform festive-day speculation.
Discover more insightful data-based perspectives and expert analysis at Indian-Share-Tips.com, which is a SEBI Registered Advisory Services.
Related Queries on Mahurat Trading
- Why Does Mahurat Trading Hold Cultural and Financial Importance?
- Which Sectors Perform Best During Mahurat Sessions?
- Is Mahurat Trading a Good Time to Start Investing?
SEBI Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers must perform their own due diligence and consult a registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. The views expressed are general in nature and may not suit individual investment objectives or financial situations.
