Why Does Jefferies See Manageable Risks and Select Opportunities in Indian Financials?

Jefferies’ Outlook on Indian Financials

Jefferies’ Summary View:
The overall impact of US tariffs on Indian financials is expected to be manageable. While risks include slower growth and slightly higher credit costs, government support and selective opportunities across banks, NBFCs, and insurers could provide resilience.

Jefferies’ Top Picks:

• Banks: HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI, Kotak Mahindra Bank
• NBFCs: Bajaj Finance, Cholamandalam, Shriram Finance, Muthoot (gold NBFC)
• Non-Lending Financials: Life insurers, Bajaj Finserv, Fintech companies

Impact of US Tariffs

• Tariff-affected sectors form only 4–6% of bank credit — limited overall impact.
• Government support through subsidies, rate subvention, and trade deals may cushion pressure.
• Risks: Possible slower economic growth and slightly higher credit costs.

Banking Sector

• Large private banks have lower exposure compared to smaller private and PSU banks.
• Strong preference for leading private sector names and SBI among PSUs.

NBFCs

• NBFCs carry higher risk exposure but stand to benefit if liquidity improves and rates ease.
• Gold NBFCs like Muthoot are more insulated from tariff-related risks.

Non-Lending Financials

• Life insurers, Bajaj Finserv, and fintech companies remain preferred choices.

SEBI Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers must perform their own due diligence and consult a registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. The views expressed are general in nature and may not suit individual investment objectives or financial situations.

Written by Indian-Share-Tips.com, which is a SEBI Registered Advisory Services

Tags: Jefferies, Indian Financials, Banking Sector, NBFCs, Insurance, Investment Outlook