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How Will Gold Perform After Its 40% Jump According To Motilal Oswal?

Motilal Oswal says gold has already delivered 40% returns; outlook suggests consolidation ahead as global drivers may cool after strong rally.

What Does Motilal Oswal’s Gold Outlook Reveal After 40% Rally?

Motilal Oswal Financial Services, a leading Indian brokerage and financial services firm, is widely respected for its research-backed insights across equities, commodities, and currencies. Its commodity research desk regularly issues quarterly reviews, with gold analysis closely followed by investors and institutions alike. The latest report comes after gold has already seen a spectacular rally, outperforming equities and bonds.

Has Gold Already Peaked With 40% Gains?

Gold prices delivered more than 40% returns on MCX and nearly 48% on COMEX in the past year. This remarkable performance far exceeded equities and other commodities.

According to Motilal Oswal’s Gold Quarterly Review, the 40% figure reflects past gains, not an additional upside projection for 2025. Analysts caution that after such a sharp rally, the yellow metal may see consolidation phases instead of a fresh 40% surge. This perspective marks a shift from aggressive bullishness to a more balanced stance.

Why Did Gold Rally So Strongly?

The surge in gold was powered by geopolitical tensions, US-China trade disputes, and expectations of global interest rate cuts. These factors created a perfect storm for safe-haven demand.

Global investors flocked to gold as inflationary concerns and uncertain equity markets made traditional assets less attractive. Central banks also added significantly to their reserves, boosting institutional demand. This combination helped propel gold’s steep gains.

What Is The Outlook Going Forward?

Motilal Oswal expects gold to enter a period of consolidation after the extraordinary run-up, though dips may still attract long-term investors.

Instead of chasing momentum, the brokerage suggests staggered buying during price corrections. With global monetary policies gradually easing and inflationary risks persisting, gold is still viewed as an important portfolio hedge. However, the scale of future gains is expected to moderate compared to the 40% seen earlier.

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Investment Strategy For Retail Investors

Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs), Gold ETFs, and systematic investments in digital gold remain preferred vehicles for retail investors looking for exposure.

Motilal Oswal suggests avoiding lump-sum entries and instead recommends a disciplined, staggered approach. This helps investors benefit from dips while protecting against sudden volatility in prices. Diversification into gold works best as a complement to equities rather than a substitute.

Investor Takeaway

Motilal Oswal’s outlook clarifies that gold’s 40% rally is already behind us. Looking ahead, the metal is expected to consolidate but still retain its appeal as a hedge. Investors should focus on systematic exposure through SGBs and ETFs rather than expecting another 40% jump in 2025. 📌 Read more expert insights at Indian-Share-Tips.com, which is a SEBI Registered Advisory Services.


SEBI Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers must perform their own due diligence and consult a registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. The views expressed are general in nature and may not suit individual investment objectives or financial situations.

Written by Indian-Share-Tips.com, which is a SEBI Registered Advisory Services

tags: Motilal Oswal, Gold forecast, Gold price outlook, Gold rally, MCX gold, COMEX gold, Gold consolidation, Safe haven, Commodity investing

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