“How to Trade Successfully Around Major News Events”

How to Trade on News Days: A Practical Price-Action Guide

News days bring fast moves, wider spreads and sudden volatility — which can either create excellent opportunities or quickly wipe out capital if you're unprepared. This post shows a simple, rule-based approach to trading around news using price action, multi-timeframe context and strict risk controls.

Why News Days Need a Different Plan

• Volatility spikes — price can travel much farther than usual within minutes.
• Wider spreads and slippage — entries and stops are more likely to be missed or filled poorly.
• Market structure can break quickly — invalidation of setups is common unless you trade from higher timeframes.

News often causes huge volatility spikes — about 270% on daily charts and 655% on 1-hour charts, based on ATR comparisons.

Recommendations:
• Prefer trading only on higher timeframes (daily or weekly) during news to avoid being whipsawed.
• Only enter trades if your usual Trend–Level–Signal confluence is intact; otherwise, skip.

Core Principles for News-Day Trading

Trade higher timeframes: Prefer daily/weekly setups — they filter out noise and reduce false breaks.

Reduce size, increase stops: Use smaller position size to compensate for wider stop-losses.

Require strong confluence: Only take signals that align with clear S/R, EMAs and price rejection — not single candles in isolation.

Avoid the first impulse: Let the initial shock pass and trade the market’s reaction (fade or follow) with confirmation.

DOT for News Days (Do • Observe • Trade)

D — Do Before Trade

• Check the economic calendar and mark the exact time of the release.
• Identify higher timeframe (daily/weekly) S/R zones and EMAs (8/21/89) beforehand.
• Measure Average True Range (ATR) to estimate likely movement — increase stops accordingly.
• Decide acceptable spread and slippage — set maximum slippage you will tolerate; if broker conditions are poor, sit out.
• Size positions so that a wider stop still keeps risk to ≤ 1–2% of capital.

O — Observe

• Watch initial reaction for 15–60 minutes (depending on volatility) and note whether price respects pre-marked S/R.
• Look for a clear directional bias or rotative range after the first impulse (does price return into a level or keep running?).
• Pay attention to spread and order-flow clues (long tails, large single candles, immediate retest of levels).

T — Trade & Execute

• Wait for reaction setups: e.g., a clean rejection (pinbar) at your pre-marked level after the first move, or a confirmed break with retest on a higher timeframe.
• Prefer limit entries: place entries at the 50% retrace of the rejection candle or on a retest — avoid market chasing the first impulse.
• Use wider but defined stops: place SL beyond the reaction candle high/low plus a buffer to account for spread.
• Set realistic targets: aim first for nearby S/R (TP1), take partial profits, then let the runner aim for TP2. Expect lower win percentage but larger directional moves.
• If structure breaks unpredictably: accept the stop and stay out until new higher timeframe structure forms.

Practical Rules & Examples

Rule 1 — Never risk full size on release: reduce lot size by 30–70% at the moment of a major release; increase only if you get a clean reaction trade.

Rule 2 — Trade the reaction, not the headline: wait for price to show whether it respects levels (rejection) or establishes a new directional bias (break + retest).

Rule 3 — Prefer Daily/Weekly setups: intraday micro-breakouts are often whipsaws — daily structure gives better odds.

Example 1 — Fade the Initial Spike (Rejection)

Price gaps violently up on a release and touches a weekly resistance you marked earlier. Wait 20–45 minutes: if a strong bearish pinbar forms that closes back into the resistance zone, place a sell limit at the pinbar’s 50% retrace, stop above the pinbar high + spread, TP1 at nearby support. Size small.

Example 2 — Follow the Break with Retest (Trend Confirmation)

Price explodes through a daily resistance and then returns to retest it. If the retest shows acceptance (small range, bullish close above the level), place a buy limit at the retest low or 50% of the retest candle, stop below the retest low (wider), TP1 at next swing high. Use smaller size and partial profit taking.

Risk Management Checklist for News

• Max risk per trade ≤ 1–2% of capital (prefer lower on very high volatility events).
• Adjust stop using ATR × factor (e.g., ATR(14) × 1.5) to estimate a reasonable stop distance.
• Reduce position size to keep risk within limits when stops are wider.
• Use limit orders where possible — avoids poor fills during spikes.
• Avoid trading immediately before major releases unless you have a pre-planned, validated setup on higher timeframe.

Quick Pre-News Checklist

• Have I marked daily/weekly S&R and EMA confluence?
• Is the release time noted and do I know its importance?
• Have I calculated ATR and adjusted stop expectations?
• Will my broker spreads/slippage likely be acceptable?
• Is my maximum acceptable slippage set (and respected)?
• Is position size adjusted so a widened stop still keeps risk ≤ 1–2%?
• Do I have pre-defined rules for fading vs following the move?

---

SEBI Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers must perform their own due diligence and consult a registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. The views expressed are general in nature and may not suit individual investment objectives or financial situations.

Written by Indian-Share-Tips.com, which is a SEBI Registered Advisory Services