How the U.S. Tariff Hike (effective Aug 27, 2025) Will Hit India — Deep Dive & Stocks to Watch
Quick overview • Sectors most exposed • Company-level watchlist • investor checklist
Sector-by-sector impact (deep dive)
Immediate order slowdowns for cut & polished diamonds and jewellery. High inventories, thin margins and large employment exposure in polishing hubs. Watch receivables and inventory days for listed exporters.
Textiles & ApparelLarge U.S. buyers may shift sourcing to Bangladesh/Vietnam; expect 20–30% shipment declines for some players and severe working-capital stress among MSME exporters.
Leather & FootwearPrice competitiveness hit; some client orders may move to alternate suppliers. Monitor factory utilisation and export order books.
Marine / Seafood (shrimp)Shrimp exporters to the U.S. will face margin squeeze and potential volume loss; inventory markdowns likely if demand softens quickly.
Engineering, Furniture, CarpetsSelect HS-coded product lines will be affected; impact is product-specific — check company HS exposure and buyer base.
Pharma & ElectronicsLargely less affected today (depending on exemptions). Continue monitoring policy notices for any changes.
Stocks likely to be affected — watchlist (examples)
The list below highlights companies with meaningful exposure to export sectors noted above. Use % revenue to U.S. (from company filings) to prioritise positions.
PC Jeweller — TICKER: PCJE
Kalyan Jewellers — TICKER: KALYANKJIL
Trident — TICKER: TRIDENT
Indo Count — TICKER: INDOCOUNT
(Plus smaller listed seafood exporters)
Relaxo — TICKER: RELAXO
Select engineering exporters (case-by-case)
Investor checklist — immediate actions
- For each holding, confirm % revenue from the U.S. and HS-code exposure (from latest filings).
- Watch upcoming quarterly guidance and analyst notes for earnings revisions.
- Trim highly-levered midsmall exporters that lack cash buffers.
- Prefer large diversified firms or strong domestic franchises for tactical defence.
- Keep a liquidity buffer: earnings downgrades and FX volatility can create buying opportunities later.
Note: Impact will vary by specific HS codes and buyer contracts. Company-level filings (annual report / investor presentations) are the best primary source for % geography exposure.