1. Our research team has dwelled on the reasons that why the present rally is a bear market and same are elucidated below for easy comprehension:
(a) Global markets are showing positive signs due to positive news and results for US banks. However things do not become rosy overnight and one has to bear the gloomy economic data which is likely to come in a few coming weeks. Moreover remember that this positive trend in world stock markets is due to govts pumping money to push the economy.
(b)Reserve Bank of India is doing its bit but it has also accepted in its report that the things are not as rosy for India as is being portrayed worldwide.
(c) One is also seeing the rise of Japanese yen against US dollar in forex market which itself suggests that liquidity situation may see some tightness again.
2. Thus above factor confirms for one thing that it is a bear rally and every rise should be used to book profit.
3. However the question that arises that how long this bear rally will continue and answer to this fact lies in knowing this thing that Nifty and Sensex are trading above psychological levels on the higher side and one is seeing increase in volumes based buying interest. Thus one can say that this rally will continue for some time till the market sustains above key recommended level i.e. Nifty 3399 for retail investors and 3249 for high risk investor where they must exit market breaches these crucial levels. We have lifted stop loss target of retail investor to help him lock maximum profit.
How Long This Bear Rally will Last?
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