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UFO Moviez India Ltd IPO Update

UFO Moviez India Ltd (UFO) is coming out with an initial public offering (IPO) of 0.96-0.98 crore equity shares of face value of Rs10 each  which will be open between 28 Apr-30 Apr 2015. The minimum bid lot is 24 equity shares and in multiples of 24 thereafter.

UFO Moviez operates India's largest digital cinema distribution network and in-cinema advertising platform (in terms of number of screens) as of October 2014, according to ratings and research agency Crisil.

Axis Capital and Citigroup Global Markets India Pvt Ltd are the book running lead managers to the issue.

Post-issue, the shareholding of the promoters in the company will be the same. The issue is priced at Rs 615-625 per share and the company intends to raise Rs 600 crore. The company will not receive any proceeds of the issue and all the proceeds of the issue will go to the selling shareholders (ie 3i Research [Mauritius] Ltd, P5 Asia Holding Investments [Mauritius] Ltd, Valuable Media Ltd, Valuable Technologies Ltd, Sanjay Gaikwad, Narendra Hete, Raaja Kanwar and Others).

At the upper band of the IPO price of Rs625, the price/earnings (P/E) works out to 34.7x based on the FY2014 earnings per share (EPS) of Rs18 (no fresh issue, only offer for sale, so post-IPO the equity capital will remain same at 2.6 crore shares of Rs10 face value) and 12.6x EV/EBITDA based on the upper price band of Rs625). The issue is entirely an offer for sale by its existing shareholders including private equity investors like 3i Research (Mauritius) and P5 Asia Holding (Mauritius). There is no listed peer-to-peer comparison for UFO in India.

Verdict

Considering the company’s market leadership position coupled with strong earnings track record and good potential for future earnings growth led by advertisement revenues and improving dynamics for movie business, we believe the company’s growth prospect looks promising and leave scope for an upside.

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How to Identify Your Style of Trading?

It is very important that you learn your style of trading to make money in the market.

As per Wikipedia the Day trader refers to the hold time that a trader, trading in capacity of a speculator, buys and sells financial instruments (e.g. stocks, options, futures, derivatives, currencies) within the same trading day, such that all positions will usually be closed before the market close of the trading day.

This trading style is called day trading. Depending on one's trading strategy, it may range from several to hundreds of orders a day. Check out our day trading tips and make money like professionals.

As per Wikipedia the Swing trader or Swing trading is a speculative activity in financial markets where a tradable asset is held for between one to several days in an effort to profit from price changes or 'swings'.

A swing trading position is typically held longer than a day trading position, but shorter than buy and hold investment strategies that can be held for months or years. Profits can be sought by either buying an asset or short selling. Check our Swing trading tips and capture the breakout.

Skipper - To Buy or Sell - A Technical Perspective

Analysis of the chart of Skipper from technical perspective shows that a "Symmetrical Continuation Triangle (Bullish)" chart pattern has been formed on Skipper Ltd (538562:BSE).

This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of 126 to the range of 132- 149 - 156-165 level.

The pattern formed over 30 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.

So far so good; we have seen the chart technically and now would like to see the other aspects related to the company as enumerated below:

Firing on two cylinders: Skipper is in a unique position to exploit the growing opportunities in two lucrative segments: power (transmission tower manufacturing and EPC projects) and water (PVC pipes). It is a leading transmission tower manufacturer in India and ideally placed to gain from the huge investments proposed in the power T&D segment (estimated to grow to Rs3 trillion over the next five years). It has a comfortable order book of Rs2,200 crore in the transmission business and is expected to record a steady growth of 20% CAGR during FY2014-17 with a healthy margin, given its backward integration into manufacturing of steel products.

Manifold expansion in pipes; going national from regional: In PVC pipes, the company’s footprint is well established but limited to the east and certain parts of central India. However, it has chalked out an aggressive plan to raise its capacity by 4x to 40,000TPA by FY2016 to become a pan-India player. Simultaneously, it is beefing up the hiring process to enter new regions with experienced hands and is looking to widen its distribution channel across India.

Margin expansion led by operating leverage and restructuring exercise: It enjoys the benefits of operating leverage on the margin and has restructured its low-margin steel tube business by leasing the capacities to Tata Steel on a cost-plus basis. Consequently, the overall margin will improve from 11% in FY2014 to 14-15% in FY2015 and elevate its RoE from 12% in FY2014 to around 16% in FY2015 (after the release of the working capital deployed in the low-margin tube business).

Set for strong earnings growth and return ratios; Buy: Skipper is a play on two key growth areas, power T&D and PVC pipes. While traction in the T&D space and aggressive expansion in the PVC business would drive its growth, the restructuring of the tube business would help expand the margin and improve the return ratios. We expect an earnings growth of 60% CAGR and a substantial expansion in the RoE during FY2014-17. This could be a strong re-rating trigger as the stock’s current valuations are also quite comfortable at 14x and 10x FY2016E and FY2017E earnings. Thus, we rate the stock as a Buy with a price target of Rs165 (based on 15x FY2017E earnings).

Key concern: The T&D EPC business is usually working capital intensive, hence any abnormal scale-up in this space could expand the working capital cycle and decrease the profitability. The company is also exposed to forex fluctuation risk due to overseas orders.

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20 Stocks to Move up - Goods & Services Tax (GST) Bill Implications

We provide below the name of companies which are going to get benefitted with the passage of Goods & Services Tax (GST) Amendment Bill and majority of the stocks has already started moving in anticipation.  Union Cabinet has already cleared the Goods & Services Tax (GST) Amendment Bill and is likely to be tabled in Parliament on or before 23 Dec 14.

The list of companies which are going to be the beneficiary of Goods & Services Tax (GST) Amendment Bill passage are as shown in the below screenshot.














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5 Stocks to Get Benefit in Modi Govt

The Modi govt is going to give thrust to infrastructure development and this is going to get translated into infrastructure, oil & gas and banking sector uptake. We are really impressed with vision of Narendra Modi. We had earlier covered that how Adani group is going to get benefitted with Modi govt and since then Adani power, Adani enterprises and Adani Port have given a dream run.

Now, we provide 5 stock tips which can give good returns in Modi regime and these are listed below:
  • ICICI Bank target 1700. We have covered ICICI bank Stock technical analysis here few months back.
  • Lupin with a target of 1050 and we have covered Lupin stock tip here.
  • Yes bank with target 650 and we have kept Yes bank in our top 10 stock picks here.
  • Crompton Greaves tgt 200-220
  • M&M tgt 1300 as auto industry is going to zoom courtesy economic growth.

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