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Why Is Elara Capital Bullish On NLC India With A Target Of ₹320?

Brokerage update: Elara Capital reiterates BUY on NLC India with target price ₹320 citing strong revenue growth, commissioning progress and long-term capacity pipeline.

Why Is Elara Capital Bullish On NLC India With A Target Of ₹320?

About NLC India

NLC India Ltd is one of India's leading lignite mining and power generation companies with a diversified asset base across thermal, renewable, and mining operations. The company continues to execute a strong growth-led capex cycle with upcoming commissioning projects expected to materially boost regulated equity and earnings.

NLC India remains in focus after a strong quarterly performance and multiple capacity additions scheduled over the next 24–36 months.

Brokerage Highlights — Elara Capital View

🔹 Rating: BUY
🔹 Target Price: ₹320
🔹 CMP: ₹248.05

🔹 Revenue grew 14.2% YoY to ₹4,200 crore, supported by:

  • 34% rise in mining revenue
  • 4% increase in power generation revenue
  • Fuel cost decrease of 6.2%

🔹 EBITDA grew 30.1% YoY to ₹1,390 crore
🔹 PAT rose 26.2% YoY to ₹720 crore

In Q2, power generation rose 2% YoY to 6.88 BU, while lignite production declined 8% YoY to 6.6 MT due to lower demand. Coal production increased 19% YoY to 3.6 MT.

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Capacity Expansion & Pipeline

🔹 Current regulated equity stands at ₹11,990 crore — including:

  • ₹8,590 crore thermal
  • ₹3,400 crore renewables

🔹 Expected to rise to ₹19,670 crore by FY30

Commissioning Timeline:

  • 150MW of Barsingsar commissioned
  • NUPPL (660MW) reached a 72-hour full load run — final clearance expected shortly
  • Talabira thermal first unit expected by Feb 2030
  • Remaining units in Aug 2030 and Feb 2031

Financial Outlook

Elara Capital expects:

  • Revenue CAGR: 11% over FY25–FY28
  • EBITDA CAGR: 21%
  • Strong contribution from renewables and regulated thermal assets

The dual growth engines of thermal recovery and renewable scale-up support long-term visibility and earnings resilience.

Investor Takeaway:
As per Derivatives & Market Strategy insights from Gulshan Khera, CFP®, NLC India presents a structured multi-year transformation cycle backed by expanding regulated assets and improving cost efficiency. Stay updated on strategic coverage at Indian-Share-Tips.com, which is a SEBI Registered Advisory Services.


SEBI Disclaimer: This content is for educational and research purposes only. It should not be treated as investment advice. Always consult a registered financial advisor before investing.

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